Sunday, July 09, 2006

WWIII has started

Last week's headlines prove the point: North Korea fires missiles, Iran talks of nukes again, Iraq carnage continues, Israel invades Gaza, England observes one-year anniversary of subway bombing. And, oh, yes, the feds stop a plot to blow up tunnels under the Hudson River.

World War III has begun.

It's not perfectly clear when it started. Perhaps it was after the Berlin Wall fell and the Cold War ended. Perhaps it was the first bombing of the World Trade Center, in 1993.

What is clear is that this war has a long fuse and, while we are not in the full-scale combat phase that marked World Wars I and II, we seem to be heading there. The expanding hostilities mean it's time to give this conflict a name, one that focuses the mind and clarifies the big picture.

The war on terror, or the war of terror, has tentacles that reach much of the globe. It is a world war.

While it is often a war of loose or no affiliation, and sometimes just amateur copycats, the similar goals of destruction add up to a threat against modern society. Even the hapless wanna-bes busted in Miami ordered guns and military equipment from a man they thought was from Al Qaeda. Islamic fascists are the driving force, but anti-American hatred is a global membership card for any and all who have a grievance and a gun.

The feeling that the wheels are coming off the world has only one recent comparison, the time when America's head-butt with communism sprouted hot spots from Cuba to Vietnam. Yet ultimately the policy of mutual assured destruction worked because American and Soviet leaders didn't want their countries hit by nuclear bombs.

Such rational thinking is quaint next to the ravings of North Korean nut Kim Jong Il and Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. They both seem to be dying to die - and set the world on fire.

And don't forget Osama Bin Laden's declaration that it is the duty of every Muslim to acquire a "Muslim bomb." Is there any doubt he would use it if he had it?

I sound pessimistic because I am. Even worse than the problems is the fact that our political system is failing us. Democratic Party leaders want to pretend we can declare peace and everything will be fine, while President Bush is out of ideas. Witness Bush now counseling patience and diplomacy on North Korea. This from a man who scorned both for five years.

But what choice does he have now that the pillars of his post-9/11 foreign policy are crumbling? As Harvard Prof. Joseph Nye argues in Foreign Affairs magazine, Bush's strategy of "reducing Washington's reliance on permanent alliances and international institutions, expanding the traditional right of preemption into a new doctrine of preventive war and advocating coercive democratization as a solution to Middle Eastern terrorism" amounted to a bid for a "legacy of transformation."

The first two ideas have been repealed. The third brought Hamas into power and has so far failed to take root in Iraq or anywhere else.

I believed Iraq was the key, that if we prevailed there, momentum would shift in our favor. Now I'm not sure. We still must prevail there, but Iraq could mean nothing if Iran or Bin Laden get the bomb or North Korea uses one.

Meanwhile, I'm definitely not using any tunnels.

Well, my comments don't seem to spark any debate...you try it...

10 comments:

Jim said...

FYI, I have some comments...later this evening, probably. Don't give up.

Jim said...

You know, this foreign policy stuff is hard work. It's complex and it's serious stuff.

Unfortunately, George W. Bush has no grasp of the realities of foreign affairs or hard work for that matter.

Can you believe you voted for a man for president who for all intents and purposes had never set foot outside of the United States? This man was never a success at anything in his life until he became governor of Texas.

So why was George W. Bush elected president? Because Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld couldn't be. However, they could maneuver their way to become the two most powerful men in Government. And they did.

Who chose Dick Cheney to be Vice-President? Dick Cheney did.

Dick Cheney has served in key positions in four Republic administrations. Nixon, Ford, Bush I, and Bush II. With luck, Bush II will be the first of them to complete two terms. Why?

Cheney and Rumsfeld are bold thinkers. The problem is, they never think about the consequences of their boldness. Instead, they expect to win every "chess match" with one bold move.

So using their connections in the Republic establishment, they have used an intellectually incurious, incompetent man with a folksy manner and a Christian heart to gain the power to make the bold moves they have been hoping to make for decades, bold moves that Bush I and his administration refused to do.

And they made the bold move. In Iraq. And they fucked up. Because they thought they could make the bold move and the rest would take care of itself. Forget about the consequences.

They are trying to pin it on the CIA. "Slam dunk", "bad intelligence", and all that. The fact is, and this is beyond dispute, they cherry-picked the intelligence to support their bold move. The CIA believed that Saddam had WMD, but they knew there were reasonable and serious doubts.

So now here we are in a mess, a huge mess. You ask of the Democrats "where is their plan?" But this administration has put this country in a position where there are no good options.

And because we turned our backs on many of our staunchest allies, because we pre-emptively attacked a country without being 100% dead certain of our justification, we get little sympathy, much less help from other countries.

So our military, great as they are, victorious as they were in swiftly toppling Saddam, are stretched thin and tired. Few allies and tired soldiers leave us with fewer options in fighting this so-called World War III.

I read your calls here for yet more "bold moves" again with respect to Iran and North Korea. You want more bold moves from men who have weakened our world position instead of strengthened it due to a series of cluster fucks riddled with hubris mixed with incompetence.

And you lament that Bush is out of ideas? He's never had one. The ideas are Cheney's, Rumsfeld's, Wolfowitz's, and Rove's. And look where they've put us.

Your source claims, "Democratic Party leaders want to pretend we can declare peace and everything will be fine." This is absurd, of course. The US is years from peace, and the Democrats know that. They also know that this administration has put us in a bad place, and they know there's got to be a better way.

How can you possibly keep supporting this administration of failed ideology and bold fuckups?

The Game said...

not bad Jim...I do get a bit turned off when you use the line that Bush is a complete idiot and knows nothing and Cheney really runs the country...it makes me think of you sitting at the computer with the foil hat on...
But yes, this is complicated...yes, going to Iraq has spread our military thin....yes, SOME allies are not with us...but that is just in Iraq...

I think the world knows that Iran and North Korea could easily start WWIII...
We can argue about Iraq another time...but what do we do NOW to stop WWIII???
I gave a suggestion...but I know that this is tricky stuff and NO ONE will come up with something that will work perfectly...do you understand that Jim? There is NO PERFECT plan....

Jim said...

Of course there is no perfect plan. It's complex, and it's going to take time. My point is, why would you trust the people who fucked everything up so far any further?

And enough of this tin-foil hat shit. I am a pretty well-read person. There is nothing in this post that posits a "conspiracy theory" or anything like it. And I have not called Bush an "idiot" either. Cheney was appointed by Bush to select a running mate in 2000. You know that don't you? Cheney selected himself. You know that don't you? Bush stated during his campaign that the US should not be engaged in "nation building". Cheney and Rumsfeld had worked in prior administrations as secretary of Defense and presidential chief of staff and as members of PNAC were ALL ABOUT nation building. Bush was never a member of PNAC (Jeb is). This is not tin-foil. This is informed by fact. Dispute this if you can.

I challenge you to refute with conviction and fact (including citations) ANYTHING that I have written in this post. I dare you to try.

I welcome your suggestion even if it's not perfect. I don't agree that WWWIII has started. I'm also not sure that Iran or Korea have the where-withall to start it yet. The US does. That's why I worry about the fuckups in charge.

The Game said...

nothing is wrong minus the part where you say the admin is a bunch of fuck ups...
If a Dem was in charge after 9-11, we would have done nothing and looked like a bunch of weak pussies, causing much more terrorism in this country that would have happened by now...
So if you want to say that Iraq is a fuck up, with a dictator gone and a new democratic govt trying to take hold, go ahead...
I will say the fact that we are kicking the crap out of terrorists all over the world, and by their own admission, we are winning the war on terror...I will not agree that everything we have done is a fuck up...
A fuck up would have been what Al Gore woud have done....the same thing Bill did, nothing

Anonymous said...

I believe he said they committed fuck-ups, not were fuck-ups.

Dedanna said...

Dedanna must interject here and go OTT cuz it's the only way to tell you guys.

I've landed a job --

$2200 p/mo

Only drawback is I have to work 13 hours a day, 6 days a week.

At least it's not constantly busy, so I can catch up during the slow times, and it's money I can use to move on from here. It will also keep me out of trouble lol

Take care.

Ron said...

Game, It has terrorism has gotten a boost because of this cabal and their plan. We will never know what would have happened under gore but I have serious doubts it would have been this bad under anybody besides these guys...yes it is not tinfoil hat land Cheney is president.

The Game said...

I am done laughing now...
you should go on the road with lines like "Clinton did a lot to fight terror" Do I really have to put up that list where the only attacking Clinton did during his presidency was on a blue dress...

laugh number two "anything positive about algore"
he is insane...if he could have won his OWN state he would have been president...
and dedanna, way to go on the job...don't work too hard...

The Game said...

you are usually done before you type anything